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原文：

Technology
    Wider technologicaltrends
It is possible to identify, for the yearsto come, four distinct macro-trends that will shape the future ofIT, together with the explosion of Ubiquitous devices thatconstitute the future Internet of Things:
1. The first one, sometimes referred as “exaflood”or “data deluge”, is the explosion of the amount of data collectedand exchanged. Just to give some numbers, business forecastsindicate that in the year 2015 more than 220 Exabaytes of data willbe stored. As current network are ill-suited for this exponentialtraffic growth, there is a need by all the actors to re-thinkcurrent networking and storage architectures. It will be imperativeto find novel ways and mechanisms to find, fetch, and transmitdata. One relevant reason for this data deluge is the explosion inthe number of devices collecting and exchanging information asenvisioned as the Internet of Things becomes a reality.
2. The energy required to operate the intelligentdevices will dramatically decreased. Already today many datacentres have reached the maximum level of energy consumption andthe acquisition of new devices has necessarily to follow thedismissal of old ones. Therefore, the second trend can beidentified covering all devices and systems from the tiniest smartdust to the huge data centres: The search for a zero level ofentropy where the device or system will have to harvest its ownenergy.
3. Miniaturisation of devices is also taking placeamazingly fast. The objective of a single-electron transistor isgetting closer, which seems the ultimate limit, at least until newdiscoveries in physics.
4. Another important trend is towards autonomicresources. The ever growing complexity of systems will beunmanageable, and will hamper the creation of new services andapplications, unless the systems will show self-* properties, suchas self-management, self-healing and self-configuration.

 

译文：

技术

技术大趋势

在未来几年中，随着物联网泛在装置爆炸式的增长，四种清晰的宏观趋势将塑造未来的IT技术走向：

1.第一是收集和交换数据量的爆炸，有时被称为艾可萨洪泛或海量数据。商业预测表明，到2015年被存储的数据将会超过220艾可萨字节(10的18次方)。由于当前的网络不适应这种指数增长的流量，必须全面重新构思目前组网和存储的体系架构。必须找到新的方式和机制，以发现，获取和传输数据。这其中一个原因是有关的海量数据，随着物联网的实现，收集和交换信息装置数量的急剧增加是产生这种海量数据主要原因之一。

2.智能装置运行所需的能量将大幅下降。今天已经有许多数据中心的能源消费量达到最高水平，有必要采用新装置取代旧装置。因此，第二个覆盖从智能微尘到巨型数据中心的所有装置和系统的技术发展趋势为：探索零熵级技术，设备和系统将自主获取其所需的能源。

3.装置正在快速小型化。单电子晶体管的目标越来越近，在发现新的物理机制之前，该目标似乎是终极极限。

4.另一个重要的趋势是自治的资源。系统复杂度的不断增长使其难以管理，并会妨碍新的服务和应用的创建，除非该系统具有自*属性：自管理、自修复和自配置

 

http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_54ce19050100jpcl.html。